干旱气象 ›› 2024, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (1): 75-83.DOI: 10. 11755/j. issn. 1006-7639(2024)-01-0075

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

对冬季云贵—华南准静止锋上一次多相态降水过程的模拟研究

杨旗1,张海鹏2,吴建蓉1,李昊2,曾华荣1,陆正奇2   

  1. 1. 贵州电网有限责任公司电力科学研究院,贵州 贵阳 550000;2. 南方电网科学研究院有限责任公司,广东 广州 510663
  • 收稿日期:2023-03-30 修回日期:2023-05-29 接受日期:2023-05-29 出版日期:2024-02-29 发布日期:2024-03-06
  • 作者简介:杨旗(1990—),男,四川大竹人,博士,工程师,主要从事电网防灾减灾与系统安全稳定分析工作。E-mail: yangqi_cqu@163. com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(41575104)和中国南方电网有限责任公司重点科技项目(GZKJXM20210486)共同资助

Simulation of a multi-phase precipitation process over Yungui-Huanan quasi-stationary
front in winter

YANG Qi1, ZHANG Haipeng2, WU Jianrong1, LI Hao2, ZENG Huarong1, LU Zhengqi2   

  1. 1. Electric Power Research Institute of Guizhou Power Grid Co. , Ltd. , Guiyang 550000, China;
    2. Electric Power Research Institute, China Southern Power Grid Co. , Ltd. , Guangzhou 510663, China
  • Received:2023-03-30 Revised:2023-05-29 Accepted:2023-05-29 Online:2024-02-29 Published:2024-03-06

摘要:

云贵—华南准静止锋使其以北地区成为研究冬季雨雪过渡区内不同降水相态的理想平台。
通过对2018年1月25—27日南方凝冻天气过程中天气学和云微物理参数的分析,定性探讨了次冻结
层的温度与冰核活化温度对不同降水相态形成的影响,进而利用耦合BTC降水相态诊断方案(简称
“BTC方案”)的WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)模式,对本次凝冻天气的降水相态、冻雨发生
区域与冻雨量进行数值模拟。结果表明:横贯云贵高原和南岭地区的准静止锋导致的锋前“冷—暖—
冷”的温度垂直结构有利于多相态降水的形成。耦合BTC方案的WRF模式可模拟出不同降水相态落
区的空间分布,其模拟冻雨落区时空分布与观测基本一致,但冰粒的空报率非常高。分析WRF模式
模拟的多相态降水时温度、相对湿度和水成物的垂直分布特征,云内水成物初始相态为液态,在高空
逆温层存在的前提下,次冻结层中冰核活化温度是区分冻雨和冰粒的临界指标且具有明确的物理机
制。利用次冻结层中的冰核活化温度来代替BTC方案中有关冻雨和冰粒的判据后,冻雨落区预报准
确率较BTC方案提高了13%,表明直接利用次冻结层的冰核活化温度判断冻雨可行。

关键词: 凝冻天气, 准静止锋, 冰核活化温度, 冻雨参数化方案, 降水相态

Abstract:

The presence of the Yungui-Huanan quasi-stationary front make its north region an ideal platform for studying different pre⁃
cipitation phase across the rain-snow transition zone. The impact of the temperature the subfreezing layer and the activation temperature of the ice core on the formation of different precipitation phases were qualitatively explored based on the analyses of the meteorological and cloud microphysical parameters over a southern freezing weather event from January 25 to 27, 2018. The precipitation phase, the freezingrain zone, and the total amount of freezing rain in this case were simulated as well by the use of the WRF model coupling the BTC precipitation phase diagnosis parameterization scheme. The results show that a “cold-warm-cold” vertical temperature structure formed by the quasi-stationary fronts across the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau and the Southern Ridge region is favorable for the occurrence of multi-phase precipitation. The spatial distribution of different precipitation phase drop zones can be well simulated by the WRF model coupled with the BTC parameterization scheme, showing good agreement with observations, but the false rate for ice particles is relatively high. The vertical distribution characteristics of temperature, relative humidity and hydrometeors during the multi-phase precipitation simulated by WRF model are analyzed. The initial phase of hydrometeors in the cloud is liquid. Under the premise of the existence of highaltitude inversion layer, the ice core activation temperature in the subfreezing layer is the critical index to distinguish freezing rain and ice particles and has a clear physical mechanism. The accuracy of freezing rain prediction is improved by 13% after by substituting the ice core activation temperature of the subfreezing layer for the discrimination of freezing rain and ice particles in the BTC scheme, which indicates the feasibility of the use of the ice core activation temperature in the subfreezing layer to determine freezing rain.


Key words:

tation phase

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